Simulation 1. Let us try to calculate the probability of the dealer getting burst. I will first define a few basic functions on R and then simulate.

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A computer is an ideal tool to examine the interaction between statistics and strategy. This is because while strategic problems tend to be.

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A computer is an ideal tool to examine the interaction between statistics and strategy. This is because while strategic problems tend to be.

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A computer is an ideal tool to examine the interaction between statistics and strategy. This is because while strategic problems tend to be.

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The basic strategy of blackjack has been built using computer simulations. Let's say I program the simulation's "player" to play with a certain.

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My blackjack strategy (but it's not a progression or regression) was ahead $50, (betting $/hand) after about , computer-simulated.

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Basic strategy was created by using a computer simulation of millions of blackjack hands. One of the first blackjack simulations was done by Julian Braun of IBM.

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The people behind the book should have done the billions of hands of computer simulations of Blackjack that lead to best plays and odds. Yes. The second of.

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The basic strategy of blackjack has been built using computer simulations. Let's say I program the simulation's "player" to play with a certain.

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I could count how many hands the player won and lost. There is a large number of possibilities, and I don't know which part of my strategy influenced my big losses and how much. BJ rules. But how are the results interpreted? While it is undoubtedly possible to achieve marginal improvements on these, the likelihood of a wholly new strategy being an improvement is zero. Sign up to join this community. I suppose I could just randomize the strategy until I find a one that brings the player most money, but that doesn't seem to be very effective. Hot Network Questions. And, without some guiding principles based on probability and such, to do that you really do need to test just about every possible strategy you can think of within reason. Question feed.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Home Questions Tags Users Unanswered. We're switching to CommonMark. Is there some kind of algorithm for this? The basic strategy of blackjack has been built using computer simulations. Your strategy works reasonably well, and you could stop there if you wanted. The beauty of this is that computers are really good at running millions and billions of hands, and so running all these simulations is not as bad as it may sound I would expect a well-written program to be able to simulate 1 million hands in a matter of minutes, so you can run hundreds or thousands of different iterations in a day. As far as I know, betting sizing does not work anymore since dealers shuffle the cards before the reaching the bottom of all the cards. Viewed times. Having counted all the previously seen cards, you can get exact probabilities for each value drawn, and thus can calculate the expectation for winning or losing for each possible move. Any simulation is based upon a set of assumptions - the simplest assumption in blackjack is that any card drawn will be of value 10 i. A quick google search will present you tons of charts similar to this one. How do blackjack simulations work? Run a million hands and see how you fared. This is a type of simulation called Monte Carlo simulation , in that it uses a random hand to simulate the play. I haven't been able to find much code or anything that would explain how these simulations work in more detail. Rotos 1 1 silver badge 3 3 bronze badges. Is there usually a fixed bet or is there some kind of betting strategy being implemented also? Sign up or log in Sign up using Google. The best answers are voted up and rise to the top. There's probably a tractable exact solution. You could then start to combine some of your highest scoring modifications and see how the combination fairs double down if you have 10 or 11, for example. Is it trying to determine what the best bets to place are? If the player lost a lot of money, then definitely there was something wrong with my strategy, and I would need to adjust it. Email Required, but never shown. If you can apply some math and statistics, you can likely reduce the number of modifications you need to run. Related 6. Run enough times, the randomness can lead to a deterministic answer. I would start by studying the already existing and well known strategies - all of which are well founded in both probability and game theory. I'm not looking to improve any existing strategies which I am familiar with quite well , I'm interested in how these strategies were developed in the first place. Is it just trying to figure out the basic win rate based on when you take actions? Tom Au Rotos S. Cohensius Cohensius 2, 6 6 silver badges 30 30 bronze badges. Sign up using Email and Password. Active 3 months ago. Not dealing to the bottom of all the cards makes it more difficult for professional card counters to operate effectively. But how would I know what to change? Rotos Jan 5 '19 at Your answer is going to be highly dependent on what the simulation is trying to determine. The closer you get to simulating perfect play, the closer you get to calculating the true house advantage. What posts should be escalated to staff using [status-review], and how do Iā¦. The key is to only modify one element at a time. Active Oldest Votes. The optimal player strategy of BJ is well studied and known. Let's say I program the simulation's "player" to play with a certain strategy, hitting, standing or whatever given certain player and dealer hands. You run your simulation with that assumption, which drives your strategy e. Find the run with the highest and there you go. Ask Question. I then run the simulation, having the "player" play possibly millions of hands and then I observe the results. Forget I was ever here I think you've misinterpreted my question. Featured on Meta. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}It only takes a minute to sign up. Asked 1 year, 5 months ago. Also, how does betting work in these simulation? Post as a guest Name. If you are down a lot of money, then you need to start modifying your strategy until you find one that works well enough. At the end of each run, compare your final chip count. Sign up using Facebook. If you're not in the hole by a lot, great. Then choose the action with the highest average profit in each situation. Modern blackjack strategy tables are more based on simulation than calculation.